BeatSPY

RUN DETAIL

Selected run

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CALIBRATION

Reliability

Reliability curve

Predicted probability against what happened. Points on the dashed diagonal are honest; above it the model was underconfident, below it overconfident.

Every bin: predicted range, answers that landed in it, observed rate.

Performance

Hover for exact values.

Drawdown

Decline from each peak.

Allocations

Weights after each decision. An invalid answer set holds the previous book.

What this run costs

Estimates are list-price equivalents, not invoices.

Settings & provenance

Full run record